In Closely Fought Elections, Independent Voters Make All the Difference

In the last four national elections, Donald Trump has served as standard bearer for the GOP, and only an electoral college fluke in 2016 has prevented the Republicans from losing every time.

In fact, the same pattern that has determined the outcome in each of the most recent partisan contests could plausibly doom the MAGA forces one more time, despite the national skepticism surrounding President Biden’s age and his handling of the border, the economy and other issues.